Monday, February 14, 2005

I must be a genius

Iraq Winners Allied With Iran Are the Opposite of U.S. Vision

A few months before the US invasion of Iraq I had a conversation with someone in which I argued that given the religious tendencies of the majority of the Iraqi population, any truly democratic government would find itself with closer ties to their Shiite neighbors in Iran.

Did Bush and Co. not consult an atlas before they sent the troops in? Maybe taken a little poll to see who might be elected in the event elections were held? They can't be happy with a true democracy there since it would tend to be anti-Israeli and anti-US and theocratic in nature.

It will be interesting to see how things proceed from here. Since governments that submit to the overwhelming will of their populations and refuse to back US foreign policy (Turkey, France, Germany, Spain-after they pulled their troops out, you know them as 'old' Europe) are looked upon with contempt. It will be difficult to get a pro-US government in a country where most want them out. Either way, the US will be left with an unfriendly government in Iraq, but one they can no longer claim as illegitimate. What happens when the Shiite government asks US troops to leave?

I know Bush doesn't like to read but you'd think he would have picked up a Clancy audiobook at some point in his life. Clancy writes about this very event occurring in one of his novels. I think he must be the next Nostradamus.

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